DE · pick 212 — first ever defensive end at #212 (1998)

DE·pick 212

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #212

Chance McCarty

Drafted by TB — GM Rich McKay · TCU

1998

DEs drafted at #212 in NFL history

most recent: Anthony Chickillo (PIT, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1997, the model gave a defensive end at #212 a 8.4% chance in 1998.

Defensive end at #212, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.9% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1998 draft

#207OGChris LiwienskiDET — GM Chuck Schmidt
#208LBChester BurnettMIN — GM Frank Gilliam
#209DEJomo CousinsARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#210OGJim BundrenMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#211OGJason AndersenNE — GM Bobby Grier
#213CBen FrickeNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#214LBBrandon TolbertJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#215WRRyan ThelwellSF — GM Carmen Policy
#216CBEric WarfieldKC — GM Carl Peterson
#217OTChad OverhauserCHI — GM Mark Hatley

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2015Anthony ChickilloPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Miami (FL)
2013Joe KrugerPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Utah
2010Chris McCoyMIA — GM Jeff Ireland · Middle Tenn. St.
2005Ryan RiddleLV — GM Al Davis era · California

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