DE · pick 211 — first ever defensive end at #211 (2011)

DE·pick 211

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #211

Bruce Miller

Drafted by SF — GM Trent Baalke · Central Florida

2011

DEs drafted at #211 in NFL history

most recent: Scott Solomon (TEN, 2012)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2010, the model gave a defensive end at #211 a 7.8% chance in 2011.

Defensive end at #211, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.7% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2011 draft

#206CBJustin RogersBUF — GM Buddy Nix
#207CBKorey LindseyCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#208QBGreg McElroyNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#209OGJohnny CulbreathDET — GM Martin Mayhew
#210OGAndrew JacksonATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#212DTZach ClaytonTEN — GM Ruston Webster
#213CBBrandyn ThompsonWAS — GM Bruce Allen
#214OTDerek NewtonHOU — GM Rick Smith
#215DED'Aundre ReedMIN — GM Rick Spielman
#216CBMikail BakerLAR — GM Billy Devaney

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2012Scott SolomonTEN — GM Ruston Webster · Rice

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