Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 21

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #21

Marvin Upshaw

Drafted by CLE · Trinity

1968

6
DEs drafted at #21 in NFL history
most recent: Chop Robinson (MIA, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #21, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.0%

Peak: 21.0% · 2027 model: 8.6%

Surrounding picks · 1968 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart