DE · pick 208 — first ever defensive end at #208 (2008)

DE·pick 208

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #208

Ervin Baldwin

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Michigan St.

2008

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2007, the model gave a defensive end at #208 a 8.3% chance in 2008.

Defensive end at #208, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.4% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2008 draft

#203LBAndy StudebakerPHI — GM Tom Heckert
#204RBLex HilliardMIA — GM Jeff Ireland
#205WRPierre GarconIND — GM Bill Polian
#206SHaruki NakamuraBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#207TEMatt SherryCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#209QBMatt FlynnGB — GM Ted Thompson
#210DEBrian JohnstonKC — GM Carl Peterson
#211OTNate GarnerNYJ — GM Mike Tannenbaum
#212CBWilrey FontenotATL — GM Thomas Dimitroff
#213RBChauncey WashingtonJAX — GM James Harris

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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