DE · pick 206 — first ever defensive end at #206 (2005)

DE·pick 206

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #206

Jonathan Goddard

Drafted by DET — GM Matt Millen · Marshall

2005

DEs drafted at #206 in NFL history

most recent: Matt Henningsen (DEN, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2004, the model gave a defensive end at #206 a 8.5% chance in 2005.

Defensive end at #206, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.2% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2005 draft

#201RBDeAndra CobbATL — GM Rich McKay
#202STDave RaynerIND — GM Bill Polian
#203DTAndrew HoffmanCLE — GM Phil Savage
#204OGChris KemoeatuPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#205CBDerrick JohnsonSF — GM Scot McCloughan
#207OTJoe BergerCAR — GM Marty Hurney
#208SJustin BeriaultDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#209OTRob PetittiDAL — GM Jerry Jones
#210STReggie HodgesLAR — GM Charley Armey
#211OTCalvin ArmstrongPHI — GM Andy Reid

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2022Matt HenningsenDEN — GM George Paton · Wisconsin

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