DE · pick 204 — first ever defensive end at #204 (1995)

DE·pick 204

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #204

Jamal Duff

Drafted by NYG — GM George Young · San Diego St.

1995

DEs drafted at #204 in NFL history

most recent: Will Davis (ARI, 2009)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a defensive end at #204 a 5.5% chance in 1995.

Defensive end at #204, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.0% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

#199SBarron MilesPIT — GM Tom Donahoe
#200OTTony BertiLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#201LBAntonio ArmstrongSF — GM Carmen Policy
#202DTBryan ProbyKC — GM Carl Peterson
#203WREddie GoinesSEA — GM Mike Allman
#206RBCharles WayNYG — GM George Young
#207DTTom BarndtKC — GM Carl Peterson
#208RBFred McCraryPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#209SChad CotaCAR — GM Bill Polian
#210RBKevin BouiePHI — GM Tom Modrak

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2009Will DavisARI — GM Rod Graves · Illinois
2007Jacob FordTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · Central Arkansas

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