DE · pick 203 — first ever defensive end at #203 (2016)

DE·pick 203

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #203

Dadi Nicolas

Drafted by KC — GM John Dorsey · Virginia Tech

2016

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a defensive end at #203 a 9.2% chance in 2016.

Defensive end at #203, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.9% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

#198RBDerek WattLAC — GM Tom Telesco
#199WRCody CoreCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#200OTKyle MurphyGB — GM Ted Thompson
#201QBBrandon AllenJAX — GM David Caldwell
#202DTAnthony ZettelDET — GM Bob Quinn
#204SJordan LucasMIA — GM Chris Grier
#205CBHarlan MillerARI — GM Steve Keim
#206WRMike ThomasLAR — GM Les Snead
#207QBJeff DriskelSF — GM Trent Baalke
#208LBKamu Grugier-HillNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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