DE · pick 201 — first ever defensive end at #201 (2000)

DE·pick 201

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #201

David Nugent

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · Purdue

2000

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a defensive end at #201 a 9.0% chance in 2000.

Defensive end at #201, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#196WREmanuel SmithJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#197DERobaire SmithTEN — GM Floyd Reese
#198SMatt BowenLAR — GM Charley Armey
#199QBTom BradyNE — GM Bill Belichick
#200WRSherrod GideonNO — GM Randy Mueller
#202QBTodd HusakWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#203CBDamen WheelerLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#204TEJason GavadzaPIT — GM Kevin Colbert
#205QBJaJuan SeiderLAC — GM Bobby Beathard
#206OTBrad BedellCLE — GM Dwight Clark

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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