DE · pick 199 — first ever defensive end at #199 (1997)

DE·pick 199

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #199

Rod Manuel

Drafted by PIT — GM Tom Donahoe · Oklahoma

1997

DEs drafted at #199 in NFL history

most recent: Gerri Green (IND, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1996, the model gave a defensive end at #199 a 7.7% chance in 1997.

Defensive end at #199, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.4% · 2027 model: 6.4%

Surrounding picks · 1997 draft

#194LBCornell BrownBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#195WRIsaac ByrdKC — GM Carl Peterson
#196DEShawn SwaydaCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#197WRNigea CarterTB — GM Rich McKay
#198DTEd JasperPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#200LBRichard HogansCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#201SRicky ParkerCHI — GM Mark Hatley
#202SSteve RosgaNYJ — GM Bill Parcells
#203CBHudhaifa IsmaeliMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson
#204QBTony GrazianiATL — GM Harold Richardson

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2019Gerri GreenIND — GM Chris Ballard · Mississippi St.
2009Stryker SulakLV — GM Al Davis era · Missouri
2008Robert HendersonNYG — GM Jerry Reese · Southern Miss
2005Khari LongKC — GM Carl Peterson · Baylor

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