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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 198

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #198

Carl Reeves

Drafted by CHI — GM Rod Graves · North Carolina St.

1995

2
DEs drafted at #198 in NFL history
most recent: Zach Moore (NE, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1994, the model gave a defensive end at #198 a 5.6% chance in 1995.

Defensive end at #198, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.3% 1995: 5.6%

Peak: 18.3% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1995 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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