DE · pick 197 — first ever defensive end at #197 (2000)

DE·pick 197

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #197

Robaire Smith

Drafted by TEN — GM Floyd Reese · Michigan St.

2000

DEs drafted at #197 in NFL history

most recent: Melvin Oliver (SF, 2006)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1999, the model gave a defensive end at #197 a 8.9% chance in 2000.

Defensive end at #197, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.2% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 2000 draft

#192CJohn RomeroPHI — GM Tom Modrak
#193SDavid GibsonTB — GM Rich McKay
#194DTLeif LarsenBUF — GM John Butler
#195SMichael HawthorneNO — GM Randy Mueller
#196WREmanuel SmithJAX — GM Tom Coughlin
#198SMatt BowenLAR — GM Charley Armey
#199QBTom BradyNE — GM Bill Belichick
#200WRSherrod GideonNO — GM Randy Mueller
#201DEDavid NugentNE — GM Bill Belichick
#202QBTodd HusakWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2006Melvin OliverSF — GM Scot McCloughan · LSU

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