DE · pick 191 — first ever defensive end at #191 (1976)

DE·pick 191

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #191

Carl Hairston

Drafted by PHI · Maryland Eastern Shore

1976

DEs drafted at #191 in NFL history

most recent: Tarron Jackson (PHI, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #191 a 7.3% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #191, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.6% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#186DTGreg SchaumDAL
#187QBBob BatemanCIN
#188DEAbdul SalaamNYJ
#189DTCassidy, SteveSteve CassidyCLE
#190LBJerry MuckensturmCHI
#193WRKarl FarmerATL
#194SChesley, JayJay ChesleySF
#195SWilliams, JackieJackie WilliamsBUF
#196RBWellington, RodRod WellingtonKC

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2021Tarron JacksonPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Coastal Carolina
2006Jeremy MinceyNE — GM Bill Belichick · Florida
2001Menson HollowaySF — GM Bill Walsh · Texas-El Paso
1989Benji RolandMIN — GM Mike Lynn · Auburn

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