DE · pick 189 — first ever defensive end at #189 (1978)

DE·pick 189

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #189

Reggie Doss

Drafted by LAR · Hampton

1978

DEs drafted at #189 in NFL history

most recent: Ochaun Mathis (LAR, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #189 a 6.3% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #189, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 17.4% · 2027 model: 6.5%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#184WRBill KellarKC
#185WRJones, HermanHerman JonesCHI
#186DTGreg MarshallPHI
#187TEDufresne, MarkMark DufresnePIT
#188LBMike HawkinsNE
#190WRHenry, LloydLloyd HenryMIA
#191RBJeff LoganIND
#192LBEarl InmonLV
#193OTBass, DannyDanny BassCIN
#194DTTom RandallDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2023Ochaun MathisLAR — GM Les Snead · Nebraska
2022Amare BarnoCAR — GM Scott Fitterer · Virginia Tech
2012Christo BilukidiLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Georgia St.
2010Eugene SimsLAR — GM Billy Devaney · West Texas A&M
2005Jovan HayeCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Vanderbilt
2003Jimmy WilkersonKC — GM Carl Peterson · Oklahoma
1997Matt FinkesCAR — GM Bill Polian · Ohio St.
1982Alvin RubenDEN — GM Edgar Kaiser/staff · Houston

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