DE · pick 178 — first ever defensive end at #178 (1986)

DE·pick 178

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #178

Mark Pike

Drafted by BUF — GM Bill Polian · Georgia Tech

1986

DEs drafted at #178 in NFL history

most recent: John Frank (PHI, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1985, the model gave a defensive end at #178 a 6.2% chance in 1986.

Defensive end at #178, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.4% · 2027 model: 6.6%

Surrounding picks · 1986 draft

#173RBGill FenertyNO — GM Jim Finks
#174QBMike NorsethCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi
#175RBRodney CarterPIT — GM Dick Haley
#176LBByron LeePHI — GM Harry Gamble
#177RBPat FranklinCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#179TECarl HiltonMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#180TEButch RolleBUF — GM Bill Polian
#181RBPaul MilesSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#182LBFred SmallsLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer
#183CBEd BerryGB — GM Forrest Gregg

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2000John FrankPHI — GM Tom Modrak · Utah
1992Mike FrierSEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring · Appalachian St.

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