DE · pick 174 — first ever defensive end at #174 (1973)

DE·pick 174

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #174

John Mitchell

Drafted by SF · Alabama

1973

DEs drafted at #174 in NFL history

most recent: Dominique Robinson (CHI, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive end at #174 a 8.9% chance in 1973.

Defensive end at #174, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 16.0% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

#169WRHaggard, MikeMike HaggardNYJ
#170CBTommy CampbellATL
#171DEBob MaddoxCIN
#172TERod FreemanNYG
#173OTDonn SmithKC
#175DTJohn AndrewsDET
#176LBRodrigo BarnesDAL
#177OTMuller, JohnJohn MullerGB
#178WRHatter, WillieWillie HatterMIA
#179LBGary WeaverLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2022Dominique RobinsonCHI — GM Ryan Poles · Miami (OH)
2021Earnest Brown IVLAR — GM Les Snead · Northwestern
2014Devon KennardNYG — GM Jerry Reese · USC
1996Kelvin KinneyWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Virginia St.

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