DE · pick 173 — first ever defensive end at #173 (1982)

DE·pick 173

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #173

Henry Waechter

Drafted by CHI — GM Jim Finks · Nebraska

1982

DEs drafted at #173 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Combs (PIT, 2000)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1981, the model gave a defensive end at #173 a 6.9% chance in 1982.

Defensive end at #173, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.9% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1982 draft

#168LBJeff RobertsNE — GM Bucko Kilroy
#169DEFletcher JenkinsIND — GM Ernie Accorsi
#170TEDan JohnsonMIA — GM Don Shula
#171STGary AndersonBUF — GM Stew Barber
#172DEEdmund NelsonPIT — GM Dick Haley
#174LBEugene WilliamsSEA — GM Mike McCormack
#175RBPhil BatesDET — GM Russ Thomas
#176RBDavid ToloumuATL — GM Eddie LeBaron
#177DEJeff JacksonLV — GM Al Davis
#178CBob SebroARI — GM Bill Bidwill

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2000Chris CombsPIT — GM Kevin Colbert · Duke

→ see this cell on the full chart