Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 172

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #172

Hegge, LeroyLeroy Hegge

Drafted by KC · South Dakota–Springfield

1974

3
DEs drafted at #172 in NFL history
most recent: Tony Leiker (GB, 1987)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a defensive end at #172 a 9.7% chance in 1974.

Defensive end at #172, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.8% 1974: 9.7%

Peak: 15.8% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart