DE · pick 170 — first ever defensive end at #170 (1976)

DE·pick 170

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #170

Greg Boyd

Drafted by NE · San Diego State

1976

DEs drafted at #170 in NFL history

most recent: Michael McCrary (SEA, 1993)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #170 a 7.3% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #170, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.6% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#165OTJohnson, KirkKirk JohnsonPHI
#166SSteve TaylorKC
#167LBGregolunas, BobBob GregolunasKC
#168LBRobert PennywellSF
#169DTVarner, StanStan VarnerATL
#171WRScott PiperBUF
#172OTHarper, CalvinCalvin HarperKC
#173OTTodd SimonsenTEN
#174RBGary DavisMIA
#175RBDarnell PowellBUF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

1993Michael McCrarySEA — GM Tom Flores/Behring · Wake Forest
1992Ron GeaterDEN — GM John Beake · Iowa
1980Wes RobertsIND — GM Dick Szymanski · TCU

→ see this cell on the full chart