Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 17

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #17

Ernie Price

Drafted by DET · Texas A&I

1973

8
DEs drafted at #17 in NFL history
most recent: Shemar Stewart (CIN, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1972, the model gave a defensive end at #17 a 9.7% chance in 1973.

Defensive end at #17, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.7% 1973: 9.7%

Peak: 22.7% · 2027 model: 7.5%

Surrounding picks · 1973 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart