Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 166

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #166

Woodard, LonLon Woodard

Drafted by NO · San Diego State

1970

4
DEs drafted at #166 in NFL history
most recent: BJ Thompson (KC, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a defensive end at #166 a 8.7% chance in 1970.

Defensive end at #166, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%15.3% 1970: 8.7%

Peak: 15.3% · 2027 model: 6.8%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart