DE · pick 163 — first ever defensive end at #163 (1969)

DE·pick 163

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #163

Gary Fleming

Drafted by IND · Samford (Ala)

1969

DEs drafted at #163 in NFL history

most recent: Ryan Russell (DAL, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #163, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 15.0% · 2027 model: 6.8%

Surrounding picks · 1969 draft

#158OGDick EnderleATL
#159RBMike SchmeisingPHI
#160SChuck BeattyPIT
#161DERoyce BerryCIN
#162OTRick HackleyNE
#164LBTheo CottrellATL
#165TEAl GiffinDEN
#166RBJeff AndersonWAS
#167CJohn EganMIA
#168DTLarry AgajanianGB

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2015Ryan RussellDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Purdue
1998Eric OgboguNYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Maryland
1996Israel RaybonPIT — GM Tom Donahoe · North Alabama
1994Dexter NottageWAS — GM Charley Casserly · Florida A&M
1978Doug BettersMIA · Nevada

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