Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 159

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #159

Colquitt, JoeJoe Colquitt

Drafted by PIT · Kansas State

1972

5
DEs drafted at #159 in NFL history
most recent: Collin Oliver (GB, 2025)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1971, the model gave a defensive end at #159 a 7.6% chance in 1972.

Defensive end at #159, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%14.7% 1972: 7.6%

Peak: 14.7% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1972 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart