DE · pick 158 — first ever defensive end at #158 (1978)

DE·pick 158

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Mekeli Ieremia

Drafted by CHI · BYU

1978

DEs drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Tyreke Smith (SEA, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #158 a 6.4% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.6% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#153OGTony ArdizzoneDET
#154TEConrad RuckerTEN
#155RBGeise, SteveSteve GeiseCIN
#156LBColeman, KemKem ColemanNE
#157LBFrancis ChesleyNO
#159RBTony GreenWAS
#160WRRandy ReutershanPIT
#161RBBen GarryIND
#162WRMarshall, ElijahElijah MarshallTB
#163DEDoug BettersMIA

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2022Tyreke SmithSEA — GM John Schneider · Ohio St.
2018Andrew BrownCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Virginia
2015Shaquille RiddickARI — GM Steve Keim · West Virginia
2012Jack CrawfordLV — GM Reggie McKenzie · Penn St.
1999David BowensDEN — GM Mike Shanahan · Western Illinois
1996Kerwin WaldroupDET — GM Chuck Schmidt · Michigan

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