DE · pick 154 — first ever defensive end at #154 (1967)

DE·pick 154

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #154

Ron Medlen

Drafted by NE · Southern Methodist

1967 · earliest year in the data window

DEs drafted at #154 in NFL history

most recent: Brennan Jackson (LAR, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #154, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.2% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1967 draft

#149DEBill WildersonBUF
#150RBMike CampbellARI
#151SMartine BercherATL
#152DEJohn DemarieCLE
#153DEBob HughesPHI
#155QBRick EgloffLV
#156RBNoland SmithKC
#157WRSims StokesDAL
#158RBSteward WilliamsGB
#159LBBo WoodNO

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2024Brennan JacksonLAR — GM Les Snead · Washington St.
2020Jason StrowbridgeMIA — GM Chris Grier · North Carolina

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