DE · pick 151 — first ever defensive end at #151 (1978)

DE·pick 151

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #151

Williams, JackJack Williams

Drafted by ARI · Bowling Green

1978

DEs drafted at #151 in NFL history

most recent: Mike Morris (SEA, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a defensive end at #151 a 6.4% chance in 1978.

Defensive end at #151, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 14.0% · 2027 model: 7.0%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#146WRStarks, GlennGlenn StarksSEA
#147OGPass, RandyRandy PassNYG
#148RBElliott WalkerSF
#149CPitts, AlAl PittsCLE
#150SDwight HicksDET
#152WRRodney ParkerATL
#153OGTony ArdizzoneDET
#154TEConrad RuckerTEN
#155RBGeise, SteveSteve GeiseCIN
#156LBColeman, KemKem ColemanNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2023Mike MorrisSEA — GM John Schneider · Michigan
1989Marvin WashingtonNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · Idaho

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