DE · pick 15 — first ever defensive end at #15 (1984)

DE·pick 15

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #15

Ron Faurot

Drafted by NYJ — GM Jim Kensil · Arkansas

1984

DEs drafted at #15 in NFL history

most recent: Rueben Bain Jr. (TB, 2026)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1983, the model gave a defensive end at #15 a 10.7% chance in 1984.

Defensive end at #15, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 23.1% · 2027 model: 6.9%

Surrounding picks · 1984 draft

#10CBRussell CarterNYJ — GM Jim Kensil
#11LBWilber MarshallCHI — GM Jerry Vainisi
#12DEAlphonso CarrekerGB — GM Forrest Gregg
#13DTKeith MillardMIN — GM Mike Lynn
#14LBJackie ShippMIA — GM Don Shula
#16DTPete KochCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin
#17WRClyde DuncanARI — GM Bill Bidwill
#18SDon RogersCLE — GM Art Modell/staff
#19OGRon SoltIND — GM Jim Irsay/staff
#20TEDavid LewisDET — GM Russ Thomas

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2026Rueben Bain Jr.TB · Miami (FL)
2025Jalon WalkerATL — GM Terry Fontenot · Georgia
2023Will McDonaldNYJ — GM Joe Douglas · Iowa St.
2012Bruce IrvinSEA — GM John Schneider · West Virginia
2010Jason Pierre-PaulNYG — GM Jerry Reese · South Florida
2003Jerome McDouglePHI — GM Andy Reid · Miami (FL)

→ see this cell on the full chart