DE · pick 14 — first ever defensive end at #14 (1979)

DE·pick 14

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #14

Marty Lyons

Drafted by NYJ · Alabama

1979

DEs drafted at #14 in NFL history

most recent: Marcus Davenport (NO, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a defensive end at #14 a 10.1% chance in 1979.

Defensive end at #14, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 23.2% · 2027 model: 6.7%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

#9DEAl HarrisCHI
#10OTKeith DorneyDET
#11STRussell ErxlebenNO
#12RBCharles AlexanderCIN
#13TEKellen WinslowLAC
#15RBEddie Lee IveryGB
#16RBTed BrownMIN
#17DEDon SmithATL
#18DTManu TuiasosopoSEA
#19LBGeorge AndrewsLAR

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2018Marcus DavenportNO — GM Mickey Loomis · Texas-San Antonio
2017Derek BarnettPHI — GM Howie Roseman · Tennessee
2011Robert QuinnLAR — GM Billy Devaney · North Carolina
2003Michael HaynesCHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Penn St.
1998Jason PeterCAR — GM Dom Anile · Nebraska
1990Renaldo TurnbullNO — GM Jim Finks · West Virginia
1989Jeff LagemanNYJ — GM Dick Steinberg · Virginia
1986Gerald RobinsonMIN — GM Mike Lynn · Auburn

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