Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 138

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #138

Natu Tuatagaloa

Drafted by CIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · California

1989

6
DEs drafted at #138 in NFL history
most recent: Xavier Thomas (ARI, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1988, the model gave a defensive end at #138 a 6.2% chance in 1989.

Defensive end at #138, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%13.0% 1989: 6.2%

Peak: 13.0% · 2027 model: 7.3%

Surrounding picks · 1989 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart