DE · pick 118 — first ever defensive end at #118 (1974)

DE·pick 118

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #118

Mark Ilgenfritz

Drafted by CLE · Vanderbilt

1974

DEs drafted at #118 in NFL history

most recent: Chris Rumph (LAC, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a defensive end at #118 a 9.3% chance in 1974.

Defensive end at #118, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.7% · 2027 model: 7.8%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#113WRJoel ParkerNO
#114RBHaskel StanbackCIN
#115TEKeith KrepflePHI
#116WRSteve OdomGB
#117SCarl CapriaDET
#119SClyde PowersNYG
#120CBFerguson, JimJim FergusonMIN
#121CBTerry SchmidtNO
#122OTGuy, TimTim GuyBUF
#124DEBattle, CharlesCharles BattleNE

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Chris RumphLAC — GM Tom Telesco · Duke
1983Smiley CreswellNE — GM Patrick Sullivan · Michigan St.
1982Doug BarnettLAR — GM Don Klosterman · Azusa Pacific

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