DE · pick 111 — first ever defensive end at #111 (1976)

DE·pick 111

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #111

Smith, MikeMike Smith

Drafted by PHI · Florida

1976

DEs drafted at #111 in NFL history

most recent: Cameron Sample (CIN, 2021)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #111 a 7.7% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #111, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 8.1%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#105LBHarry CarsonNYG
#106RBTony DavisCIN
#107QBCraig PenroseDEN
#109LBDan JilekBUF
#110LBHerb McMathLV
#112CBWonder MondsPIT
#113TERon SingletonLAC
#114WRPat TilleyARI
#115WRArtie OwensLAC
#116OGGreg FairchildCIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

2021Cameron SampleCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · Tulane
1992Frank KmetBUF — GM Bill Polian · Purdue
1983Doug ReedLAR — GM Don Klosterman · San Diego St.

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