DE · pick 11 — first ever defensive end at #11 (1969)

DE·pick 11

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #11

Bill Stanfill

Drafted by MIA · Georgia

1969

DEs drafted at #11 in NFL history

most recent: J.J. Watt (HOU, 2011)

How rare was this draftigami?

No rarity score — the model compares each pick to its predictions for earlier seasons, and drafts from 1967–1969 sit before that runway is long enough.

Defensive end at #11, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 23.0% · 2027 model: 6.3%

Surrounding picks · 1969 draft

#6WRRon SellersNE
#7TETed KwalickSF
#8RBLarry SmithLAR
#9QBMarty DomresLAC
#10WRJim SeymourLAR
#12DTRich MooreGB
#13DEFred DryerNYG
#14OTRufus MayesCHI
#15LBRon PritchardTEN
#16WRGene WashingtonSF

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

2011J.J. WattHOU — GM Rick Smith · Wisconsin
2009Aaron MaybinBUF — GM Buddy Nix · Penn St.
2002Dwight FreeneyIND — GM Bill Polian · Syracuse
1995Derrick AlexanderMIN — GM Frank Gilliam · Florida St.
1994John ThierryCHI — GM Rod Graves · Alcorn St.
1993Dan WilliamsDEN — GM John Beake · Toledo
1990Anthony SmithLV — GM Al Davis · Arizona
1987Shawn KnightNO — GM Jim Finks · BYU

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