DE · pick 107 — first ever defensive end at #107 (1977)

DE·pick 107

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #107

Jones, EarlEarl Jones

Drafted by LAR · Memphis State

1977

DEs drafted at #107 in NFL history

most recent: Anthony Nelson (TB, 2019)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a defensive end at #107 a 7.5% chance in 1977.

Defensive end at #107, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 8.3%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#102CBOliver DavisCLE
#103OTMike WilsonCIN
#104CBEric HarrisKC
#105SJerry AndersonCIN
#106OGDan AudickPIT
#108LBGuy BrownDAL
#109OTGerald SkinnerNE
#110DTRobert SimsCLE
#111WRLarry SeiversSEA
#112OGMickey MarvinLV

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2019Anthony NelsonTB — GM Jason Licht · Iowa
1997Pratt LyonsTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Troy
1996Kendrick BurtonTEN — GM Floyd Reese · Alabama
1989Andrew StewartCLE — GM Ernie Accorsi · Cincinnati

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