Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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DE·pick 104

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #104

Dwight White

Drafted by PIT · East Texas State

1971

3
DEs drafted at #104 in NFL history
most recent: Jay Moore (SF, 2007)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1970, the model gave a defensive end at #104 a 7.4% chance in 1971.

Defensive end at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%12.6% 1971: 7.4%

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 8.4%

Surrounding picks · 1971 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

→ see this cell on the full chart