DE · pick 103 — first ever defensive end at #103 (2004)

DE·pick 103

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #103

Bo Schobel

Drafted by TEN — GM Floyd Reese · TCU

2004

DEs drafted at #103 in NFL history

most recent: Alex Okafor (ARI, 2013)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a defensive end at #103 a 8.0% chance in 2004.

Defensive end at #103, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 8.4%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

#98DEShaun PhillipsLAC — GM A.J. Smith
#99WRCarlos FrancisLV — GM Al Davis era
#100CAlex StepanovichARI — GM Rod Graves
#101LBDemorrio WilliamsATL — GM Rich McKay
#102CBWill PooleMIA — GM Rick Spielman
#104DTIsaac SopoagaSF — GM Terry Donahue
#105WRSamie ParkerKC — GM Carl Peterson
#106QBLuke McCownCLE — GM Butch Davis
#107LBKendyll PopeIND — GM Bill Polian
#108WRJerricho CotcheryNYJ — GM Terry Bradway

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2013Alex OkaforARI — GM Steve Keim · Texas
2012Frank AlexanderCAR — GM Marty Hurney · Oklahoma
2011Sam AchoARI — GM Rod Graves · Texas
2008William HayesTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · Winston-Salem St.

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