DE · pick 102 — first ever defensive end at #102 (1976)

DE·pick 102

FIRST DE EVER DRAFTED AT #102

Brett, WaltWalt Brett

Drafted by ATL · Montana

1976

DEs drafted at #102 in NFL history

most recent: Jalyn Holmes (MIN, 2018)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1975, the model gave a defensive end at #102 a 7.9% chance in 1976.

Defensive end at #102, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 12.6% · 2027 model: 8.5%

Surrounding picks · 1976 draft

#97QBGene SwickCLE
#98OGMelvin MitchellMIA
#99DERichard St. ClairCLE
#100WRSteve RiveraSF
#101LBTom PerkoGB
#103SJohn SciarraCHI
#104RBGordon BellNYG
#105LBHarry CarsonNYG
#106RBTony DavisCIN
#107QBCraig PenroseDEN

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

2018Jalyn HolmesMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Ohio St.
2008Jeremy ThompsonGB — GM Ted Thompson · Wake Forest
2007Brian RobisonMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Texas
1998Lorenzo BromellMIA — GM Jimmy Johnson · Clemson
1997Terry DayNYJ — GM Bill Parcells · Mississippi St.
1986Kevin FaganSF — GM John McVay · Miami (FL)

→ see this cell on the full chart