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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 40

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #40

Lawrence Johnson

Drafted by CLE · Wisconsin

1979

8
CBs drafted at #40 in NFL history
most recent: Cooper DeJean (PHI, 2024)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1978, the model gave a cornerback at #40 a 7.7% chance in 1979.

Cornerback at #40, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%21.9% 1979: 7.7%

Peak: 21.9% · 2027 model: 15.7%

Surrounding picks · 1979 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 7 picks

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