Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 3

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #3

Bruce Pickens

Drafted by ATL — GM Ken Herock · Nebraska

1991

4
CBs drafted at #3 in NFL history
most recent: Derek Stingley Jr. (HOU, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1990, the model gave a cornerback at #3 a 3.7% chance in 1991.

Cornerback at #3, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%17.0% 1991: 3.7%

Peak: 17.0% · 2027 model: 8.5%

Surrounding picks · 1991 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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