Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 253

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #253

Kalan Reed

Drafted by TEN — GM Jon Robinson · Southern Miss

2016

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2015, the model gave a cornerback at #253 a 12.5% chance in 2016.

Cornerback at #253, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.6% 2016: 12.5%

Peak: 22.6% · 2027 model: 10.5%

🟡 Mr. Irrelevant cell

Last pick of the draft in 1 year.

Surrounding picks · 2016 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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