Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 252

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #252

Lenny Williams

Drafted by TB — GM Bruce Allen · Southern

2004

5
CBs drafted at #252 in NFL history
most recent: Alex Austin (BUF, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a cornerback at #252 a 6.2% chance in 2004.

Cornerback at #252, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%22.5% 2004: 6.2%

Peak: 22.5% · 2027 model: 10.5%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

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