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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 215

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #215

Alfonso Marshall

Drafted by CHI — GM Jerry Angelo · Miami (FL)

2004

4
CBs drafted at #215 in NFL history
most recent: Jeremy Ware (LV, 2010)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2003, the model gave a cornerback at #215 a 7.6% chance in 2004.

Cornerback at #215, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.3% 2004: 7.6%

Peak: 19.3% · 2027 model: 11.7%

Surrounding picks · 2004 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 3 picks

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