CB · pick 206 — first ever cornerback at #206 (2007)

CB·pick 206

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #206

Ryan Smith

Drafted by TEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt · Florida

2007

CBs drafted at #206 in NFL history

most recent: Jemea Thomas (NE, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2006, the model gave a cornerback at #206 a 8.5% chance in 2007.

Cornerback at #206, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 19.1% · 2027 model: 11.9%

Surrounding picks · 2007 draft

#201CBRashad BarksdalePHI — GM Tom Heckert
#202CBMike RichardsonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#203SDaren StoneATL — GM Rich McKay
#204DEJacob FordTEN — GM Mike Reinfeldt
#205QBJordan PalmerWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato
#207LBPrescott BurgessBAL — GM Ozzie Newsome
#208RBJustise HairstonNE — GM Bill Belichick
#209OTCorey HilliardNE — GM Bill Belichick
#210WRJordan KentSEA — GM Tim Ruskell
#211LBOscar LuaNE — GM Bill Belichick

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

2014Jemea ThomasNE — GM Bill Belichick · Georgia Tech
2011Justin RogersBUF — GM Buddy Nix · Richmond

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