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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 159

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #159

Bill Kay

Drafted by TEN — GM Ladd Herzeg · Purdue

1981

3
CBs drafted at #159 in NFL history
most recent: Trae Williams (JAX, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1980, the model gave a cornerback at #159 a 6.2% chance in 1981.

Cornerback at #159, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.6% 1981: 6.2%

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 13.1%

Surrounding picks · 1981 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 2 picks

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