CB · pick 158 — first ever cornerback at #158 (1977)

CB·pick 158

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #158

Mitchell, MarkMark Mitchell

Drafted by PHI · Tulane

1977

CBs drafted at #158 in NFL history

most recent: Bryce Hall (NYJ, 2020)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1976, the model gave a cornerback at #158 a 6.2% chance in 1977.

Cornerback at #158, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.6% · 2027 model: 13.2%

Surrounding picks · 1977 draft

#153WREmery MooreheadNYG
#154RBWilbert MontgomeryPHI
#155CJim HarlanSF
#156RBArt BestLAR
#157DEPruitt, RonRon PruittBUF
#159LBPaul HarrisPIT
#160QBTommy DunivenCIN
#162OGSchick, TomTom SchickNO
#163LBCalvin O'NealIND
#164OTJim CooperDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 4 picks

2020Bryce HallNYJ — GM Joe Douglas · Virginia
2019Michael JacksonDAL — GM Jerry Jones · Miami (FL)
2017Nate HairstonIND — GM Chris Ballard · Temple
1997Taje AllenLAR — GM John Shaw / Jay Zygmunt · Texas

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