Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 121

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #121

Terry Schmidt

Drafted by NO · Ball State

1974

7
CBs drafted at #121 in NFL history
most recent: Jack Jones (NE, 2022)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a cornerback at #121 a 8.5% chance in 1974.

Cornerback at #121, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%18.4% 1974: 8.5%

Peak: 18.4% · 2027 model: 14.0%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 6 picks

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