CB · pick 120 — first ever cornerback at #120 (1974)

CB·pick 120

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #120

Ferguson, JimJim Ferguson

Drafted by MIN · Stanford

1974

CBs drafted at #120 in NFL history

most recent: Josh Shaw (CIN, 2015)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1973, the model gave a cornerback at #120 a 8.5% chance in 1974.

Cornerback at #120, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 18.4% · 2027 model: 14.1%

Surrounding picks · 1974 draft

#115TEKeith KrepflePHI
#116WRSteve OdomGB
#117SCarl CapriaDET
#118DEMark IlgenfritzCLE
#119SClyde PowersNYG
#121CBTerry SchmidtNO
#122OTGuy, TimTim GuyBUF
#124DEBattle, CharlesCharles BattleNE
#125CMike WebsterPIT
#126OTJohn KelseyDAL

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 5 picks

2015Josh ShawCIN — GM Mike Brown / Duke Tobin · USC
2003Asante SamuelNE — GM Bill Belichick · Central Florida
1999Kenny WrightMIN — GM Frank Gilliam · Arkansas
1989Elliot SmithLAC — GM Steve Ortmayer · Alcorn St.
1978Terry JacksonNYG · San Diego State

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