Andy Martin | almart.in

NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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CB·pick 104

FIRST CB EVER DRAFTED AT #104

Hayes, BillieBillie Hayes

Drafted by CIN · San Diego State

1970

9
CBs drafted at #104 in NFL history
most recent: Jakorian Bennett (LV, 2023)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1969, the model gave a cornerback at #104 a 6.0% chance in 1970.

Cornerback at #104, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%19.1% 1970: 6.0%

Peak: 19.1% · 2027 model: 14.4%

Surrounding picks · 1970 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 8 picks

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