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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 233

FIRST C EVER DRAFTED AT #233

Chance Pearce

Drafted by HOU — GM Charley Casserly · Texas A&M

2003

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2002, the model gave a center at #233 a 3.9% chance in 2003.

Center at #233, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%10.9% 2003: 3.9%

Peak: 10.9% · 2027 model: 0.9%

Surrounding picks · 2003 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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