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NFL DRAFTIGAMI

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C·pick 205

FIRST C EVER DRAFTED AT #205

Ted Larsen

Drafted by NE — GM Bill Belichick · North Carolina St.

2010

2
Cs drafted at #205 in NFL history
most recent: Luke Bowanko (JAX, 2014)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2009, the model gave a center at #205 a 3.1% chance in 2010.

Center at #205, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

19801990200020102020 0%9.4% 2010: 3.1%

Peak: 9.4% · 2027 model: 1.0%

Surrounding picks · 2010 draft

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

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