C · pick 187 — first ever center at #187 (2002)

C·pick 187

FIRST C EVER DRAFTED AT #187

Justin Hartwig

Drafted by TEN — GM Floyd Reese · Kansas

2002

Cs drafted at #187 in NFL history

most recent: John Sullivan (MIN, 2008)

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 2001, the model gave a center at #187 a 3.4% chance in 2002.

Center at #187, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 8.7% · 2027 model: 1.1%

Surrounding picks · 2002 draft

#182DTDavid PughIND — GM Bill Polian
#183SJames LewisIND — GM Bill Polian
#184WRKahlil HillATL — GM Harold Richardson
#185RBJosh ScobeyARI — GM Bob Ferguson
#186QBJ.T. O'SullivanNO — GM Mickey Loomis
#188LBWesly MallardNYG — GM Ernie Accorsi
#189SKeyon NashLV — GM Al Davis era
#190DTHoward GreenHOU — GM Charley Casserly
#191TEJeb PutzierDEN — GM Mike Shanahan
#192OTReggie ColemanWAS — GM Vinny Cerrato

Drafted at this same coordinate later · 1 pick

2008John SullivanMIN — GM Rick Spielman · Notre Dame

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