C · pick 16 — first ever center at #16 (1978)

C·pick 16

FIRST C EVER DRAFTED AT #16

Blair Bush

Drafted by CIN · Washington

1978

How rare was this draftigami?

Trained on every pick through 1977, the model gave a center at #16 a 2.2% chance in 1978.

Center at #16, year by year

Each year's estimate uses only that year's draft and the years before it — no peeking ahead. The line smooths across neighboring picks and seasons so a single oddball draft doesn't dominate. The shaded band is the model's 90% uncertainty range.

Peak: 6.4% · 2027 model: 1.7%

Surrounding picks · 1978 draft

#11CBLuther BradleyDET
#12LBClay MatthewsCLE
#13OTMike KennATL
#14WRJohn JeffersonLAC
#15STSteve LittleARI
#17QBDoug WilliamsTB
#18OGBob CryderNE
#19SKen GreeneARI
#20RBElvis PeacockLAR
#21DERandy HollowayMIN

Drafted at this same coordinate later

Nobody else has been drafted as this position at this pick number.

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